6:40 PM PDT · Petco Park

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres 23 final

  • Dense airAir density 0.98: fly balls die sooner and breaking balls get more bite.
  • Mitch Keller: breakers in dense air43% breaking balls. Dense air adds break to those pitches.

Conditions at first pitch

0.98Dense air

1.201 kg/m³ at first pitch.

+2.3 mph · 3.7 mph

to 17 mph

Temperature
66°F
79%
29.90 inHg
Elevation
23 ft
Open air

MLB's recorded conditions: Partly Cloudy, wind 9 mph, Out To RF.

Betting lines

MarketLine
7.5Over +100 · Under -12050% over
PIT +160 · SD -190SD 66%
SD -1.5SD +118 · PIT -142
Mitch Keller 4.5Over +110 · Under -14548% over
Nick Pivetta 6.5Over -118 · Under -10854% over

Consensus closing lines. Implied probabilities include the sportsbook margin.

Starting pitchers

Mitch Keller PIT · RHP

Today: 6.0 , 3 H, 3 , 2 BB, 1 K, 78 pitches

49% 43% 9%
Four-seam32%
Sinker16%
Slider15%
Sweeper19%
Curveball9%
Changeup9%
93.5 mph
15.7 in
17%
20% / 6%
42%
42%
.323
1,035
19% · 19% vs RHP
This season:
0
48718%.33314.8 in
All loaded seasons:
1,97219%.34216.1 in
2,32819%.33216.2 in

Nick Pivetta SD · RHP

Today: 6.0 , 6 H, 2 , 0 BB, 8 K, 81 pitches

60% 40% 0%
Four-seam50%
Sinker2%
Cutter9%
Sweeper20%
Curveball20%
93.6 mph
19.8 in
24%
28% / 8%
42%
33%
.309
878
23% · 23% vs RHP
This season:
8130%.47812.1 in
60423%.27716.7 in
All loaded seasons:
1,35320%.35813.3 in
4,79423%.31715.9 in

Lineups

Season-to-date batted-ball profile before this game. Tap any underlined label for what it means.

Pittsburgh Pirates
#HitterHR
1Oneil Cruz CF · L21097.39.6°62%25%15%12.385 / .461+3750.50-4
2Andrew McCutchen DH · R19289.012.5°42%9%11%3.343 / .346+4750.52-4
3Bryan Reynolds RF · S24191.05.5°46%12%10%7.343 / .348+5250.52-3
4Spencer Horwitz 1B · L4787.211.0°44%6%9%1.298 / +6000.51-3
5Henry Davis C · R6281.623.4°27%7%16%2.353 / .308+6500.50-4
6Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · R21690.18.2°48%6%4%1.287 / .298+10000.50-4
7Adam Frazier 2B · L17784.315.6°16%0%10%2.267 / .273+13000.50-4
8Tommy Pham LF · R14789.05.9°38%2%10%0.246 / .273+7750.51-4
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS · R16885.14.8°28%2%8%1.280 / .271+11000.51-3
San Diego Padres
#HitterHR
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R23293.86.3°54%13%9%13.370.330 / .403+3251.50-3
2Luis Arraez 1B · L21083.713.2°16%0%11%3.288.222 / .300+11001.51-4
3Manny Machado 3B · R22593.014.4°53%12%13%6.396.509 / .380+3751.51-3
4Jackson Merrill CF · L12588.69.2°40%15%7%5.380.360 / .390+4001.51-3
5Gavin Sheets DH · L18692.517.0°54%12%23%11.342.510 / .317+6000.50-3
6Xander Bogaerts SS · R21889.713.1°40%5%17%3.316.242 / .331+8000.50-3
7Jake Cronenworth 2B · L11890.515.3°46%6%17%4.325.419 / .280+6250.50-2
8Brandon Lockridge LF · R6884.7-2.3°33%0%4%0.267 / .2350-0
9Elias Díaz C · R12886.416.1°39%6%12%3.263 / .260+9000.50-3