1:10 PM CDT · Target Field

Pittsburgh Pirates at Minnesota Twins 21 final

  • Thin airAir density 0.92: fly balls carry farther and breaking balls break less.
  • Mitch Keller: breakers in thin air42% breaking balls. Less air means less break on those pitches.
  • Simeon Woods Richardson: breakers in thin air44% breaking balls. Less air means less break on those pitches.

Conditions at first pitch

0.92Thin air

1.125 kg/m³ at first pitch.

-1.0 mph · 7.3 mph

to 20 mph

Temperature
86°F
35%
29.06 inHg
Elevation
828 ft
Open air

MLB's recorded conditions: Partly Cloudy, wind 10 mph, In From RF.

Betting lines

MarketLine
9Over -105 · Under -11851% over
PIT +115 · MIN -135MIN 57%
MIN -1.5MIN +150 · PIT -185
Mitch Keller 4.5Over -160 · Under +12062% over
Simeon Woods Richardson 4.5Over +120 · Under -16045% over

Consensus closing lines. Implied probabilities include the sportsbook margin.

Starting pitchers

Mitch Keller PIT · RHP

Today: 6.0 , 4 H, 1 , 0 BB, 3 K, 83 pitches

50% 42% 7%
Four-seam33%
Sinker17%
Slider17%
Sweeper18%
Curveball8%
Changeup7%
93.6 mph
15.3 in
17%
19% / 6%
42%
46%
.312
1,770
22% · 21% vs RHP
This season:
19215%.28411.4 in
56516%.32714.5 in
All loaded seasons:
2,16419%.33715.5 in
2,40618%.33016.0 in

Simeon Woods Richardson MIN · RHP

Today: 4.2 , 6 H, 1 , 1 BB, 3 K, 77 pitches

46% 44% 10%
Four-seam46%
Slider29%
Curveball15%
Changeup7%
Splitter3%
93.3 mph
18.7 in
20%
20% / 9%
42%
31%
.322
1,148
24% · 24% vs RHP
This season:
33918%.34410.4 in
27521%.31112.1 in
All loaded seasons:
51620%.32310.4 in
62919%.32811.9 in

Lineups

Season-to-date batted-ball profile before this game. Tap any underlined label for what it means.

Pittsburgh Pirates
#HitterHR
1Spencer Horwitz 1B · L
Power in carry conditions
17688.116.3°43%10%12%2.297.356 / +5001.50-4
2Andrew McCutchen DH · R34189.313.9°45%10%17%8.336.316 / .350+4751.51-5
3Bryan Reynolds RF · S
Power in carry conditions
38691.56.4°49%11%12%10.339.348 / .348+4501.51-4
4Nick Gonzales 2B · R14088.58.7°42%7%8%4.338.381 / +7001.50-4
5Tommy Pham LF · R23190.77.5°44%5%7%3.280.387 / .263+7750.51-4 1 HR
6Jack Suwinski CF · L5886.720.1°37%15%26%1.291 / .377+4500.50-3
7Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · R34689.79.5°46%6%5%2.277.278 / .274+10000.52-4
8Joey Bart C · R22188.18.9°41%10%14%1.308.238 / .306+5500-0
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS · R29683.12.7°25%2%10%1.272.211 / .271+16000.54-4
Minnesota Twins
#HitterHR
1Byron Buxton CF · R
Power in carry conditionsWind toward pull side
32991.917.9°55%16%21%21.353.382 / .249+2751.52-4
2Willi Castro RF · S28687.813.6°43%7%17%9.330.283 / .272+6251.50-4
3Trevor Larnach DH · L36390.911.2°45%8%13%13.318.337 / .367+4501.50-4
4Carlos Correa SS · R31990.47.6°46%6%14%7.313.369 / .282+7001.52-4
5Brooks Lee 2B · S29688.614.0°39%6%15%8.277.283 / .395+5501.50-2
6Royce Lewis 3B · R
Power in carry conditions
15090.816.4°43%10%13%2.333.333 / .239+5001.50-4
7Ty France 1B · R35189.110.4°41%9%11%6.328.314 / .3520-2
8Harrison Bader LF · R
Power in carry conditions
26586.311.3°39%12%18%11.298.320 / .297+8500.52-3
9Ryan Jeffers C · R28989.516.0°44%9%14%7.348.380 / .401+5001.50-0