5:10 PM EDT · Great American Ball Park
San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds 5–7 final
- Thin airAir density 0.92: fly balls carry farther and breaking balls break less.
- Seth Lugo: breakers in thin air46% breaking balls. Less air means less break on those pitches.
Conditions at first pitch
0.92Thin air
1.132 kg/m³ at first pitch.
+1.2 mph · 2.4 mph
to 13 mph
- Temperature
- 87°F
- 57%
- 29.40 inHg
- Elevation
- 535 ft
- —
- Open air
MLB's recorded conditions: Partly Cloudy, wind 6 mph, R To L.
Betting lines
| Market | Line | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | Over -115 · Under -105 | 53% over | |
| — | SD -145 · CIN +120 | CIN 45% | |
| CIN +1.5 | CIN -130 · SD +110 | — | |
| Seth Lugo | 4.5 | Over -115 · Under -115 | 53% over |
| Graham Ashcraft | 4.5 | Over +130 · Under -166 | 43% over |
Consensus closing lines. Implied probabilities include the sportsbook margin.
Starting pitchers
Seth Lugo SD · RHP
Today: 6.0 , 5 H, 0 , 0 BB, 6 K, 94 pitches
51% 46% 3%
Four-seam35%
Sinker16%
Slider9%
Curveball36%
Changeup3%
- 93.2 mph
- 17.6 in
- 16%
- 22% / 6%
- 39%
- 46%
- .341
- 865
- 23% · 23% vs RHP
| 100 | 14% | .366 | 17.4 in | |
| 488 | 15% | .329 | 17.4 in |
| 777 | 20% | .335 | 14.0 in | |
| 2,450 | 22% | .301 | 16.8 in |
Graham Ashcraft CIN · RHP
Today: 6.2 , 3 H, 1 , 2 BB, 7 K, 94 pitches
62% 38% 0%
Sinker8%
Cutter54%
Slider38%
- 96.5 mph
- 11.2 in
- 20%
- 16% / 9%
- 42%
- 47%
- .369
- 1,199
- 23% · 23% vs RHP
| 253 | 18% | .421 | 14.2 in | |
| 291 | 18% | .308 | 15.0 in |
| 637 | 16% | .369 | 13.0 in | |
| 538 | 17% | .307 | 14.4 in |
Lineups
Season-to-date batted-ball profile before this game. Tap any underlined label for what it means.
| # | Hitter | HR | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R | 283 | 91.4 | 10.2° | 48% | 9% | 14% | 15 | .379 | .395 / .416 | +240 | 1.5 | 1-5 |
| 2 | Juan Soto LF · L Power in carry conditions | 354 | 92.8 | 3.8° | 59% | 12% | 9% | 14 | .397 | .309 / .409 | +290 | 1.5 | 3-5 |
| 3 | Manny Machado 3B · R | 278 | 90.0 | 12.4° | 42% | 7% | 14% | 9 | .295 | .328 / .291 | +340 | 1.5 | 0-5 |
| 4 | Xander Bogaerts SS · R | 321 | 87.8 | 6.1° | 35% | 7% | 5% | 8 | .324 | .384 / .330 | +700 | 1.5 | 1-5 |
| 5 | Jake Cronenworth 1B · L | 332 | 86.6 | 15.0° | 33% | 4% | 18% | 7 | .308 | .263 / .311 | +650 | 1.5 | 1-5 |
| 6 | Gary Sánchez C · R Power in carry conditions | 102 | 89.2 | 13.8° | 45% | 11% | 23% | 7 | .318 | — / .397 | +390 | 1.5 | 2-4 |
| 7 | Nelson Cruz DH · R | 141 | 92.7 | 9.7° | 49% | 10% | 12% | 5 | .309 | .296 / .275 | — | — | 0-1 |
| 8 | Ha-Seong Kim 2B · R | 288 | 84.9 | 14.8° | 27% | 6% | 17% | 9 | .322 | .220 / .317 | +650 | 1.5 | 0-0 |
| 9 | Trent Grisham CF · L Power in carry conditions | 288 | 90.0 | 20.6° | 42% | 15% | 15% | 7 | .335 | .305 / .357 | +475 | 0.5 | 1-4 1 HR |
| # | Hitter | HR | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TJ Friedl CF · L | 232 | 82.1 | 11.6° | 25% | 2% | 14% | 6 | .292 | — / .266 | +550 | 1.5 | 0-5 |
| 2 | Matt McLain SS · R Power in carry conditions | 187 | 88.5 | 12.2° | 41% | 13% | 11% | 6 | .341 | .407 / — | +425 | 1.5 | 1-5 1 HR |
| 3 | Jonathan India 2B · R | 359 | 89.2 | 15.2° | 39% | 7% | 13% | 10 | .340 | .309 / .323 | +500 | 1.5 | 1-5 |
| 4 | Elly De La Cruz 3B · S | 90 | 88.3 | 1.5° | 41% | 6% | 9% | 3 | .288 | .229 / — | +390 | 1.5 | 2-5 |
| 5 | Kevin Newman 1B · R | 212 | 85.7 | 13.4° | 29% | 3% | 14% | 3 | .317 | .292 / .356 | — | — | 0-1 |
| 6 | Nick Senzel RF · R | 213 | 86.5 | 16.2° | 31% | 4% | 12% | 5 | .308 | .386 / .397 | — | — | 0-2 |
| 7 | Spencer Steer LF · R | 333 | 90.1 | 18.9° | 40% | 7% | 16% | 12 | .339 | .453 / .291 | +500 | 1.5 | 2-3 1 HR |
| 8 | Tyler Stephenson C · R | 308 | 88.0 | 9.2° | 41% | 8% | 10% | 5 | .311 | .262 / .358 | +650 | 1.5 | 2-4 1 HR |
| 9 | Daniel Duarte P · R | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — / — | — | — | 0-0 |