6:40 PM CDT · Wrigley Field
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs 3–1 final
- Thin airAir density 0.93: fly balls carry farther and breaking balls break less.
- Wind out 16 mphWind blowing out toward center field helps fly balls carry.
- Aaron Ashby: breakers in thin air43% breaking balls. Less air means less break on those pitches.
- Drew Smyly: breakers in thin air44% breaking balls. Less air means less break on those pitches.
Conditions at first pitch
0.93Thin air
1.138 kg/m³ at first pitch.
+15.5 mph · 12.7 mph
to 29 mph
- Temperature
- 80°F
- 57%
- 29.16 inHg
- Elevation
- 595 ft
- —
- Open air
MLB's recorded conditions: Partly Cloudy, wind 16 mph, Out To LF.
Betting lines
| Market | Line | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | Over -113 · Under -106 | 53% over | |
| — | MIL -130 · CHC +100 | CHC 50% | |
| CHC +1.5 | CHC -120 · MIL -105 | — | |
| Aaron Ashby | 4.5 | Over -105 · Under -125 | 51% over |
| Drew Smyly | 4.5 | Over +120 · Under -160 | 45% over |
Consensus closing lines. Implied probabilities include the sportsbook margin.
Starting pitchers
Aaron Ashby MIL · LHP
Today: 6.0 , 5 H, 1 , 2 BB, 12 K, 100 pitches
36% 43% 21%
Four-seam4%
Sinker32%
Slider33%
Curveball10%
Changeup21%
- 95.7 mph
- 13.0 in
- 27%
- 26% / 14%
- 31%
- 66%
- .294
- 592
- 24% · 24% vs LHP
| 0 | — | — | — | |
| 247 | 28% | .323 | 13.3 in |
| 33 | 17% | .516 | 12.7 in | |
| 247 | 28% | .323 | 13.3 in |
Drew Smyly CHC · LHP
Today: 3.0 , 0 H, 0 , 1 BB, 3 K, 49 pitches
56% 44% 1%
Sinker26%
Cutter30%
- 91.7 mph
- —
- 23%
- 18% / 5%
- 33%
- 49%
- .332
- 667
- 24% · 26% vs LHP
| 166 | 21% | .273 | 3.0 in | |
| 177 | 20% | .373 | 3.4 in |
| 1,176 | 24% | .328 | 4.5 in | |
| 1,074 | 24% | .349 | 4.4 in |
Lineups
Season-to-date batted-ball profile before this game. Tap any underlined label for what it means.
| # | Hitter | HR | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew McCutchen LF · R | 155 | 88.0 | 13.9° | 41% | 8% | 9% | 3 | .307 | — / .318 | +400 | 1.5 | 0-5 |
| 2 | Luis Urías SS · R Wind toward pull side | 102 | 88.5 | 15.7° | 32% | 10% | 23% | 4 | .372 | — / — | +500 | 1.5 | 0-3 |
| 3 | Tyrone Taylor RF · R | 125 | 91.0 | 18.1° | 46% | 8% | 18% | 4 | .333 | — / .316 | +400 | 1.5 | 1-3 1 HR |
| 4 | Rowdy Tellez DH · L Power in carry conditions | 171 | 91.1 | 14.2° | 50% | 16% | 9% | 10 | .384 | — / .392 | +500 | 1.5 | 1-4 |
| 5 | Keston Hiura 1B · R | 64 | 94.5 | 14.9° | 57% | 21% | 25% | 5 | .356 | — / .282 | +500 | 0.5 | 0-3 |
| 6 | Mike Brosseau 3B · R | 64 | 89.0 | 13.6° | 41% | 7% | 10% | 3 | .322 | — / .334 | +500 | 0.5 | 0-2 |
| 7 | Lorenzo Cain CF · R | 123 | 89.2 | 0.4° | 40% | 0% | 6% | 1 | .252 | — / .175 | +650 | 0.5 | 0-4 |
| 8 | Jace Peterson 2B · L | 114 | 87.6 | 8.6° | 35% | 4% | 15% | 4 | .297 | — / .315 | +750 | 4.5 | 0-1 |
| 9 | Victor Caratini C · S | 63 | 87.5 | 2.5° | 44% | 7% | 5% | 2 | .346 | — / .286 | +750 | 0.5 | 1-4 1 HR |
| # | Hitter | HR | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Morel 3B · R | 48 | 91.3 | 11.1° | 43% | 3% | 17% | 2 | .373 | — / — | +475 | 2.5 | 1-4 |
| 2 | Willson Contreras C · R Power in carry conditions | 160 | 93.5 | 8.9° | 59% | 12% | 9% | 6 | .404 | .311 / .450 | +400 | 1.5 | 2-2 1 HR |
| 3 | Ian Happ CF · S | 177 | 89.5 | 10.1° | 44% | 9% | 7% | 5 | .333 | .264 / .374 | +600 | 0.5 | 0-4 |
| 4 | Frank Schwindel DH · R | 170 | 87.3 | 14.9° | 33% | 6% | 15% | 6 | .274 | .264 / .279 | +550 | 1.5 | 0-4 |
| 5 | Patrick Wisdom 1B · R Power in carry conditions | 167 | 92.1 | 19.4° | 55% | 20% | 16% | 10 | .311 | .375 / .273 | +260 | 0.5 | 1-4 |
| 6 | Nelson Velázquez RF · R | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — / — | +425 | 1.5 | 1-4 |
| 7 | Clint Frazier LF · R | 24 | 87.2 | 23.6° | 31% | 0% | 19% | 0 | .283 | — / — | +550 | 0.5 | 1-3 |
| 8 | Nico Hoerner SS · R | 113 | 89.4 | 9.4° | 38% | 6% | 13% | 3 | .331 | — / .306 | +650 | 0.5 | 0-1 |
| 9 | Andrelton Simmons 2B · R | 36 | 78.2 | 0.5° | 13% | 0% | 6% | 0 | .181 | — / — | +1100 | 0.5 | 0-3 |